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Banks are withdrawing or weakening their net zero commitments and climate-related policies, study finds

13 October 2026

"Banks have reduced their low-carbon ambition overall, with some even cancelling their commitments, targets and policies outright”

High rises
Henk Hyperbolicus
  • Only six banks disclose financing conditions for high-emission sectors and just one discloses actions taken to enforce these conditions.
  • While 30 banks include climate risk as a material risk in their annual reports, only seven disclose how these risks are incorporated into their financial statements.

“Banks have reduced their low-carbon ambition overall, with some even cancelling their commitments, targets and policies outright”, according to the latest report published today (13 October 2026) by the TPI Global Climate Transition Centre (TPI Centre) at the London School of Economics.

In its ‘State of the Banking Transition 2026’ report, the TPI Centre analysed the climate ambition of 36 of the largest banks by market capitalisation and total assets using two elements: the Net Zero Banking Assessment Framework (NZBAF) and Carbon Performance (CP) for Banks. The NZBAF is a framework spanning nine topics that evaluates banks’ overall performance in managing the low-carbon transition and Carbon Performance shows which sectors and business activities are covered by banks’ sectoral emissions reduction targets.

This year, for the first time since 2019, none of the 26 banks assessed for the last three years, has set new climate targets. Two European banks, assessed for the first time this year, are the only banks to set new targets in 2026. Since peaking in 2022 and 2023, following the 2021 UN climate summit (COP26), sectoral target-setting has declined sharply.

Across eight of the nine areas of the NZBAF, scores have either remained flat or fallen since 2024. On average, the 36 banks assessed this year score on only 21% of the 72 sub-indicators (questions), and no bank scores on more than a third of the sub-indicators.

Over the last year, half of the assessed banks have weakened their disclosures on at least one sub-indicator of the framework. The area where scores have decreased the most is on net zero commitments. In 2026, banks met an average of 22% of the sub-indicators in this area, down from 33% in 2024. On financing conditions for high-emission companies, eight banks have weakened their disclosures between 2024 and 2026.

The research team also found that scores vary significantly depending on where a bank is based. Banks in Europe score highest on the framework, meeting the criteria for 27% of the sub-indicators. Every EU bank scores on areas related to disclosures of financed emissions and financial exposure to high-emission sectors, reflecting the region's mandatory disclosure requirements. US banks score on just 13% of questions and have retreated in recent years, amid sustained anti-ESG pressure. Chinese banks score low (6%), with scores concentrated in climate solutions financing, an area the state has prioritised. Regulation is not the whole story, however, as even within the same jurisdiction, bank scores vary considerably. In Europe, the best and worst performers are around 15 percentage points apart.

The report contains a novel focus section on banks’ recognition of climate-related risks in financial statements, an area where disclosure is emerging. While 30 of 36 banks assessed classify climate-related risks as a key risk, only seven disclose the accounting assumptions and judgments they use to estimate these risks in their financial statements; the seven banks that disclose are all European, which may reflect increasing supervisory scrutiny in the region.

Our research shows a clear slowing down and, in some cases, retreat from the banking sector in relation to climate action, just when financial risks are becoming harder to ignore. Most banks now recognise climate risk as a key risk, yet many don't disclose how they account for it, leaving a gap in what investors and policymakers can assess about banks' exposure. - Algirdas Brochard, Policy Fellow and Research Project Manager at the TPI Centre
The retreat from net zero commitments is deeply worrying, but climate change is not retreating with them. Floods, heatwaves and changes in energy markets will still affect the businesses banks lend to and the assets they hold. Our research shows that banks are beginning to reflect these risks in their financial statements, but only a handful provide quantitative evidence to support their assessments. Investors need to understand how banks are evaluating climate risks, whether they judge the financial consequences to be large or small. - Simon Dietz, Research Director at the TPI Centre and Professor of Environmental Policy, Department of Geography and Environment, LSE
A rigorous materiality assessment is the foundation of sound risk management. A bank must first establish the extent to which climate-related risks are material before deciding how to reflect them in its risk management framework and its financial statements. What matters is the transparency of whether a risk is deemed material or not, and on what assumptions. That transparency allows supervisors and stakeholders to understand whether the conclusion is well-founded. - Dorota Wojnar, Head of ESG Risks Unit, European Banking Authority

To see the research or for interviews with the authors, please contact Liam Collins on l.collins4@lse.ac.uk or gri.media@lse.ac.uk.


Notes to editors

  • The TPI Global Climate Transition Centre (TPI Centre) is an independent, authoritative source of research and data on the progress of corporate and sovereign entities in transitioning to a low-carbon economy. It is part of the Global School of Sustainability at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
  • The TPI Centre is the academic partner of the Transition Pathway Initiative (TPI), a global initiative led by asset owners and supported by asset managers, aimed at helping investors assess companies’ preparedness for the transition to a low-carbon economy. More than 155 investors globally, representing approximately US$80 trillion combined Assets Under Management and Advice, have pledged support for TPI.1
  • The TPI Centre is also the academic research expert of Assessing Sovereign Climate-related Opportunities and Risks (ASCOR). • The report published today is part of the TPI Centre’s flagship trilogy: it will be followed by the State of the Sovereign Transition 2026 in November and the State of the Corporate Transition in 2027.
  • For more information, please visit https://www.transitionpathwayinitiative.org.

1 This figure is subject to market-price and foreign-exchange fluctuations and, as the sum of self-reported data by TPI supporters, may double-count some assets.

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